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simplesimon
45 Comments
The $700 Billion Disconnect: Lost in Translation
Don't Be Fooled - Short Selling Restrictions Do Work
When will any of us blame ourselves. We're the ones who thought we'd all move to Boardwalk and Parkplace with our Humvees, 50 miles or more from town....with our high maintenance women drooling over the Sex and the City designer outfits, and charging it all on high interest charge cards. Credit cards, by the way that your Congress approved laws that allow them to charge you 30% interest if you are late with another creditor? Or allow GMAC to repo your car for only 30 days arrearage,and sell it to Carmax , on a short sale, and legally be allowed to bill the previous owner the difference, and keep the 'profit' for yourselves?....Isn't this similar to short selling? Isn't this like "I'll borrow your car, without your knowledge, bash it up, then sell it, and keep the difference between its former value and the bashed up value?
Yes...we hear a chorus of short sellers crowing about the valuable service they provide re. "true valuation". But trust me, the vast majority of us see these institutional short sellers as grand theft auto repo kings, snorting and chortling with slobbering greed and utter disregard for any 'weakling' who gets in their way to Boardwalk and Park Place.
Keep boasting of your right to naked short selling, so we can identify you , round you up, and send you to camp......camp penitentiary.
Market Meltdown: We Need Congress to Make This Right
I've heard an awful lot of cynical mockery and anger about the ban on naked short selling...I am making a stab in the dark here- but I am guessing that this outrage is coming from a million or more blackberry whizes who now have to hurry and cover their shorts?
I'm also astounded that there would be so much resistance to the gov't's bailout proposal. I am guessing here also, it is more about congress diverting blame from itself to the current whipping boys, Bernanke and Paulson.
I'd like to hear more from this contributor and others whether the Dow, which has swooned 4,000 points - whether it could fall another 4,000 with what appears to be political wrangling this close to election time? And why not fall to a DJIA of 6,000? My personal view is that we should not abandon ship at this moment in history. Buffet placed his bet on the table, and I encourage others to gird their loins also, and make a show of some modicum of courage-and, make for some gesture of 'this far down, and no farther' bottom. In a word, stop dumping shares out of panic. To quote another whipping boy of late, "Stand up and fight!" Show some hutzpah, goys and shiksas.
Housing: Bigger Isn't Always Better
Boeing Strike Seems More Like Corporate Terrorism
This all by itself is enough to drag BA down into the penny stock class, ultimately to disappear from America altogether. Then where will you go with 'hat in hand' looking for work?...To Ford? they've already been striked to death. How about Snappy Hamburger Palace?
This nation is in an economic death spiral. To strike Boeing now is egregiously unAmerican.
To quote Abraham Lincoln: "Congressmen who willfully take actions during wartime that damage morale and undermine the military are saboteurs, and should be arrested, exiled, or hanged"
BA has military contracts in the offing-the nation is going down like the Titanic...and machinists are sabotaging the company, and wanting more comfortable deck chairs. Trust me...most of the nation despises these striking machinists. You want to help this nation? Or are you only interested in your self interest? Then you are absolutely no different from the money lenders who wrecked the economy. You strikers are doing precisely the same thing. Say to your union bosses, "This is NOT the time to strike. We recognize this nation is at war, Americans are bleeding everyday and night...this is wrong. WE want to go back to Work." I assure you the nation will honor you like you would not believe. But you insist on this sabotage...you will forever be the jackasses you are making of yourselves...for all the world to see, and in all the history books for generations to come., when the young students ask, "What happened to the once great America?"....Yes by all means...you will deserve the ignominy . We would love to see you all 'let go'. We have no respect for you whatsoever. If you don't like this opinion, you can call 1-800-Crybaby.
Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
Reform, ethical conduct...THESE are the words I listen for in the campaign blurbs. Perhaps a chant, "No more quid pro quo; no more quid por quo..."
Defense Spending and the Presidential Election
In a word, we truly have lost the will to fight. And why not? With our iPods in our ears, our advancement to Boardwalk foremost in our minds, and busy painting our faces to attend the NFL game? We 'can't be bothered with the messy business of being at war'. As much as we would all like to close our eyes and 'cause it to disappear from view'...it ain't boys and girls! It just ain't. Nice try. I'm happy that you've found the moral high ground. Our enemy does not see you as standing on moral high ground...they see the egregious, unbridled greed that dragged the economy down the primrose path to the abyss we are 'enjoying now' - so we could all indulge our sopohmoric lusts for lots of 'stuff'. They see pornography and gambling on every corner, and the biggest customer for illicit drugs in the world...they feel a 'need' to destroy us.
Thus I adjure everyone to focus on the final words of McCain's convention address...."Stand up and fight...stand up and fight...stand up and fight". Put it down, and step away from your iPods. We are at war. Remind yourselves that the dollar of 1965, when homes could be bought for $18K, is worth a dime today. Viewed from that perspective, this war is cheap. Remembering that more men were shot dead in a matter of hours at the Battle of the Bulge in WWII...this casualty rate is phenomenally low. Gird your trembling loins, and stand up and fight. OR...you could run home to mamaobama. "Protect me Daddy"...clue...h... ain't gonna protect you from anything. He's only one man. A young, idealistic, but inexperienced young man who stutters, and has a hard time finishing a sentience. he won't be able to finish anything.
Questioning Obamanomics
This is a real and dangerous world. One young idealist is not going to make much of a dent in the larger forces at play. It will take time, and huge partisan wrangling to get anything done; in the meantime, the markets will be more panicky, as described above. In particular, the dollar may lose value ( already too low for us old timers who remember when a home could be bought for $18K ! Can we agree that the dollar is worth about a tenth of its former worth based on housing costs alone? ) Market forces can abandon the dollar if they decide another currency is stronger. This can shipwreck any idealist plan of egalitarian economics-namely by way of the sovereign funds of Kuwait , e.g., wind up owning GE , Ford, and Boeing, owing to the exacerbated decline in value which may be brought on by all this "I have a dream" mentality.... In short, not to be too much of a dash of a bucket of ice water here, but Obama makes me think of the Fairy Godmother in the Disney version of Cinderella...where he will , by the wave of his wand, transform our 1989 station wagon into a pearlescent Cadillac CTS with moonroof, and take us all to the resplendent ball where we get all kinds of free stuff- stuff that churls like us don't ordinarily have access too, like those "war mongering , right wing religious republicans do"....."yea... da ticket"...In other words, this is about "Winning"...... is something lawyers do as wind up dolls..."presenti... the case for my being President'...it IS a popularity contest, vis Paris Hilton, where you tell the disaffected everything the disenfranchised like hearing...and vadda boom, vadda bing...you da president!
.... This is a real and dangerous world....I personally dread an Obama presidency. If I turn out to be wrong, well save this comment, and rub my face in it 6 years from now; and I will humbly apologize. But for now, I am going with someone who has earned his stripes, and possesses a vastly wider experience and wisdom regarding the big picture.
Is the 'Commodity Super Cycle' Dead or Alive?
Wednesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
This Recession Will Be Neither Short Nor Shallow
My point being we can all return to being 'normal'...that is, realize we're not impressing anyone with our $750K home brimming over with debt. WE can all just get real, get honest, get ethical, treat labor fairly...adjust if for inflation; it won't kill us-as the guy pointed out above...THAT is what will drive Wall st....working stiffs spending , but spending wisely. Bear in mind ( no pun intended), that the dollar, compared to 1965, when the minimum wage was $1.75 an hour...that the dollar is now worth one thin dime!...That means the minimum wage should be $17.50 an hour. Horrifying, you say. When really , it only means the 'dollar menu" at McDonald's, et. al...is totally unrealistic...their workers, part time, below subsistence, is the only reason they can offer food that dirt cheap...it's because the execs have no conscious, morals, or ethics...it's all about living in their $750 K homes, while the little grey haired lady serving burgers, can afford her medicine. When the CEO of McDonald's was asked about promoting his company in China with no human rights..he replied that commerce is his only concern. ...hmmm. I see.
Screw the old lady. Torture the dissident. What matters is profit, and a golden parachute for me the CEO. And we wonder why we're falling, falling, falling.
Detroit: Tow Ridiculous
And while we're in the house cleaning mode, how about something besides the power elite governing the nation? Why does it have to be a lawyer? Do they know anything at all about being foreclosed? reposessed? insurance canceled so they can no longer drive? How is it any of these people know what is best for the people? They don't, actually. But like any self respecting lawyer, they do know how to make a murderer look like the victim. They do know how to come on television 20 times a day encouraging you to sue somebody, anybody...let's sue the hell out of everything that moves, any corporation with a lot o' dough....that will really fix it all up, huh? Either that, or it will drive every entrepeneur offshore, don't you imagine? Choose your president, and your representatives carefully this time. I think a few working stiffs might be helpful, frankly.
Wake Up America, You’re Sinking
well, so did the 'dot-com' IPO's, and their non existent profits, yielding millions in gains overnight.
All this points to slobbering human greed and utter lack of restraint or mitigation of national identifying trait of one upmanship, conspicuous consumption. Did we really think that our $750K home would impress our friends and poorer relations? Or did it just foment resentment and envy and familial strife; in tandem with our ludicrous spending habits, only serving to drag everyone, including those who could never afford a home, into deep financial crisis?
On Good Morning America just this morning, Aug. 8th, on their so called "Recession Rescue", the gals demonstrated how to go find 'bargains' in the brand racist clothing stores, where $2,000 worth of high fashion garments, like $120 jeans, could all be had at a savings of $500! Wow..whoopee. Only Robin had any voice of reason at all during this stupid reportage...asking how is it, and why is it considered 'smart shopping' if we buy a pair of jeans for over $100?
Thank you , Robin...for the love of God, may we all return to something remotely resembling sanity and reason in this country before we are all body slammed into the poor house.
The Cyclical Nature of Markets
Moving to a Trans-Industrial Paradigm
Some of us recall being in the military, with our "Flight" ( Air Force Boot training ) brought to a company halt; left face, parade rest-and without a word from our drill instructor, encouraged to watch as bedraggled, wrinkled, filthy uniformed, no hat, no haircut, hair flopping like comb overs, as they shame facedly pick up cigarette butts and chewing gum wrappers. With the occasional, "Hey Sealed Beams...you missed a spot" being heard from the sharply creased squadron. My thinking here is that a few million 'what were you thinking' type executives should be paraded around like this, sweeping and cleaning, and repainting, and pot hole patching, with hot steamy tar on 95 degree days, for the whole world to see. Not beaten, not tormented, just humiliated for a few months incarceration; and then returned to the work force from which they came...like the desk from which they issued risky loans. I say this, for a guy in our Sunday school class who is a car salesman ( they can make $100K a year, people, selling cars with blown engines and not losing a minute's sleep over it! ) ..who when asked about the repossession rates, confessed that approximately 22% of all cars sales end up on the back of a repo truck at 3 a.m. for having missed as little as the Second Payment ! And THAT only because GMAC would NOT accept a partial payment, and demanded both payments at once on the next due date. This, of course, set you up for the 2 payments in arrears. This provided the legal right, at one minute past the second due date, at midnight, to come get the car, sell it to auto advantager, and carmax, for 50% its value or less..and the remaining balance owed, billed to the repossessee! Why? Simple...this is a fabulously lucrative business. but think, people!! think!...how long does it take for 60 million people to wind up the worst credit rating possible, and teh infamous subprime, translate usorious loan sharking...and thus completely torpedo new car sales? Had any one thought of the down side of this unbridled, ruthlesness? THESE are the folks we would all love to see picking up cigarette butts. "Hey bubble gut,plumber butt...you missed spot!"